Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 3.911339 4.189378 4.486242 4.828307 5.213493 5.636092 6.137935
2025-07-13 3.450245 3.833189 4.267156 4.801215 5.449137 6.221140 7.228691
2025-07-20 3.221573 3.671195 4.202674 4.889267 5.771567 6.895751 8.487725
2025-07-27 3.063991 3.562050 4.170941 4.989622 6.094618 7.589282 9.874979
2025-08-03 2.900511 3.423998 4.080909 4.992683 6.273874 8.097253 11.083899
2025-08-10 2.729316 3.259405 3.937990 4.903443 6.304301 8.383110 11.994985
2025-08-17 2.569122 3.096380 3.782172 4.777662 6.260960 8.541603 12.715432
2025-08-24 2.449608 2.978360 3.676715 4.710493 6.291978 8.812900 13.685961
2025-08-31 2.381236 2.923526 3.652113 4.754820 6.493818 9.386704 15.368908
2025-09-07 2.309470 2.859226 3.608856 4.765709 6.640394 9.883767 17.039345
2025-09-14 2.194749 2.729874 3.465618 4.613601 6.503137 9.848075 17.522695
2025-09-21 2.107205 2.634370 3.365791 4.521013 6.455921 9.971724 18.416681
2025-09-28 2.027808 2.549203 3.279839 4.449417 6.446863 10.185466 19.661864
2025-10-05 1.966503 2.487339 3.225294 4.424508 6.518389 10.574674 21.546035
2025-10-12 1.937087 2.469358 3.234257 4.501762 6.780396 11.404987 25.126085
2025-10-19 1.912314 2.456547 3.249633 4.589766 7.071706 12.361710 29.773160
2025-10-26 1.868494 2.413699 3.216367 4.592449 7.198703 12.968397 33.654151
2025-11-02 1.808639 2.344762 3.139269 4.514196 7.156849 13.157712 36.005180
2025-11-09 1.744994 2.268046 3.046844 4.403721 7.039680 13.138421 37.447526
2025-11-16 1.696526 2.212508 2.985581 4.344639 7.022899 13.379229 40.406214
2025-11-23 1.672314 2.192572 2.979775 4.383636 7.214847 14.222187 47.579728
2025-11-30 1.643138 2.163979 2.958649 4.393212 7.344620 14.926057 55.113508
2025-12-07 1.585726 2.090535 2.862235 4.259305 7.147102 14.631296 55.383035